By applying Supply-demand Balance Analysis, the water resource supply and demand of the whole river basin and each county or district were calculated, on which basis the vulnerability of the water resources system of the basin was evaluated. The IPAT equation was used to set a future water resource demand scenario, setting variables such as future population growth rate, economic growth rate, and unit GDP water consumption to establish the scenario. By taking 2005 as the base year and using assorted forecasting data of population size and economic scale, the future water demand scenarios of various counties and cities from 2010 to 2050 were predicted. By applying the basic structure of the HBV conceptual hydrological model of the Swedish Hydrometeorological Institute, a model of the variation tendency of the basin under climate change was designed. The glacial melting scenario was used as the model input to construct the runoff scenario under climate change. According to the national regulations for the water resources allocation of the basin, a water distribution plan was set up to calculate the water supply comprehensively. Considering the supply and demand situation, the water resource system vulnerability was evaluated by the water shortage rate. By calculating the (grain production) land pressure index of the major counties and cities in the basin, the balance of supply and demand of land resources under the climate change, glacial melt and population growth scenarios was analyzed, and the vulnerability of the agricultural system was evaluated. The Miami formula and HANPP model were used to calculate the human appropriation of net primary biomass and primary biomass in the major counties and cities for the future, and the vulnerability of ecosystems from the perspective of supply and demand balance was assessed.
YANG Linsheng, ZHONG Fanglei
This set of data mainly includes the demographic data of 12 counties in 6 prefecture-level cities of Qinghai, Gansu and Inner Mongolia in Heihe River Basin, covering the time period of 2000-2009. The data source is the local statistical yearbook, which mainly includes: Statistical Bureau of Suzhou District. Statistical Yearbook of Suzhou. 2004-2009; Yumen Statistical Bureau. Yumen Statistical Yearbook. 2000-2008; Jinta County Statistical Bureau. Jinta County Statistical Yearbook. 2004-2009; Gaotai Statistical Bureau. Gaotai Statistical Yearbook. 2000-2007; Shandan County Statistical Bureau. Shandan County Statistical Yearbook. 2000-2009; Sunan Yugur Statistical Bureau. Statistical Yearbook of Sunan Yugur Autonomous County. 2004-2009; Minle County Statistical Bureau. Minle County Statistical Yearbook. 2004-2009; Shandan County Statistical Bureau. Shandan County Statistical Yearbook. 2000-2009; Linze County Statistical Bureau. Linze County Statistical Yearbook. 2000-2009; Ejin Banner Statistical Bureau. Ejin Banner Statistical Yearbook. 1990-2005; Qilian County Statistical Bureau. Qilian County National Economic Statistics. 2004-2009; Part of the data of Zhangye City comes from the basic social and economic situation of townships of Zhangye City in 2005. Data of Jiayuguan City is derived from the CNKI statistical data database of China National Knowledge Infrastructure, and only contains some county-level data. Data Content Description: The data mainly includes three population indicators of 12 counties in the basin, including Ganzhou District, Gaotai County, Shandan County, Minle County, Linze County, Sunan Yugur Autonomous County, Jinta County, Sunzhou District and Yumen City, Jiayuguan City, Qilian County, and Ejin Banner. The population indicators are permanent population, agricultural population and non-agricultural population at the end of the year. It is divided into two levels: county level and township level. The statistics currently available are: County level: Ejina Banner: 2006-2009: resident population, agricultural population, non-agricultural population at the end of each year Ganzhou District: 2009: agricultural population, non-agricultural population of the year; Gaotai County: 2009: agricultural population, non-agricultural population of the year; Sunan: 2000-2009: permanent population, agricultural population, non-agricultural population at the end of each year; Minle County: 2009: permanent population, agricultural population, non-agricultural population at the end of the year; Linze: 2009: permanent population, agricultural population, non-agricultural population at the end of the year; Yumen City: 2000-2005: permanent population, agricultural population, non-agricultural population at the end of each year; Township level: Ejin Banner: 2000-2005: permanent population, agricultural population, non-agricultural population at the end of the year; Ganzhou District: 2000-2008: permanent population, agricultural population, non-agricultural population at the end of the year; 2009: resident population at the end of the year; Gaotai County: 2000-2004, 2006, 2007: permanent population, agricultural population, non-agricultural population at the end of the year; 2009: resident population at the end of the year; Shandan County: 2000-2007: permanent population, agricultural population, non-agricultural population at the end of the year; 2009: resident population at the end of the year; Minle County: 2000-2008: permanent population, agricultural population, non-agricultural population at the end of the year; Jinta County: 2004-2009: permanent population, agricultural population, non-agricultural population at the end of the year; Yumen City: 2006-2008: permanent population, agricultural population, non-agricultural population at the end of the year; Suzhou District 2004-2009: permanent population, agricultural population, non-agricultural population at the end of the year; Qilian County: 2004-2009: permanent population, agricultural population, non-agricultural population at the end of the year; Permanent population at the end of the year, agricultural population, non-agricultural population County level township level county level township level county level township level Ejin Banner:2006-2009 2000-2005 2006-2009 2000-2005 2006-2009 2000-2005 Ganzhou District 2000-2009 2009 2000-2008 2009 2000-2008 Gaotai County 2000-2004、 2006、2007、2009 2009 2000-2004、 2006、2007 2009 2000-2004、 2006、2007 Shandan County 2000-2007、2009 2000-2007 2000-2007 Sunan County 2000-2009 2000-2009 2000-2009 Minle County 2009 2000-2008 2009 2000-2008 2009 2000-2008 Linze County 2009 2009 2009 Jinta County 2004-2009 2004-2009 2004-2009 Sunzhou District 2004-2009 2004-2009 2004-2009 Qilian County 2004-2009 2004-2009 2004-2009 Yumen City 2000-2005 2006-2008 2000-2005 2006-2008 2000-2005 2006-2008
ZHAO Jun
Taking 2000 as the base year, the future population scenario prediction adopted the Logistic model of population, and it not only can better describe the change pattern of population and biomass but also is widely applied in the economic field. The urbanization rate was predicted using the urbanization Logistic model. Based on the existing urbanization horizontal sequence value, the prediction model was established by acquiring the parameters in the parametric equation applying nonlinear regression. The urban population was calculated by multiplying the predicted population by the urbanization rate. The Logistic model was used to predict the future gross national product of each county (or city), and then, according to the economic development level of each county (or city) in each period (in terms of real GDP per capita), the corresponding industrial structure scenarios in each period were set, and the output value of each industry was predicted. The trend of industrial structure changing in China and the research area lagged behind the growth of GDP, so it was adjusted according to the need of the future industrial structure scenarios of the research area.
ZHONG Fanglei
The main body of the Tibetan Plateau is Qinghai Province and the Tibetan Autonomous Region. The economic and social data of Qinghai Province and the Tibetan Autonomous Region are the basis for the analysis and assessment of the basic data of sustainable development of populations, resources, environment and economic society on the Tibetan Plateau by integrating the basic data of natural sciences. Under normal circumstances, the statistical yearbooks of all provinces and regions are all in paper and CD-ROM versions, and users need to perform secondary editing before they can use them. This data set mainly relies on the raw data of the Statistical Yearbook of Qinghai Province and the Tibetan Autonomous Region to carry out data conversion and integrate the current economic and social data sets. The temporal coverage of the data is from 2007 to 2016, and the temporal resolution is one year. The spatial coverage is Qinghai Province and the Tibetan Autonomous Region of the Tibetan Plateau. The spatial resolution is the administrative unit of the prefecture or city. The data include information on population, economy, finance, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, investment in fixed assets, education and health.
WANG Shijin
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