This data set contains the observation constrained permafrost distribution over the Tibetan Plateau under medium emission scenario (SSP245) at the end of the 21st century (2080-2099). The future permafrost distribution was estimated using the spatial-constrain approach following Chadburn et al. (2017). We developed the permafrost-MAAT relationship using the current permafrost distribution map at 1km spatial resolution (Zou et al., 2017) and mean annual air temprature (MAAT) derived from CMFD dataset. This spatial relationship was than driven by the projected temperture under SSP245 scenario from 10 Earth System Models from CMIP6 to etimate the future permafrost distribution by the end of the 21st century (2080-2099). This observation constrained permafrost distribution indicates future permafrost loss under equilibrium state, and has high relevance to international climate negotiations which are framed in term of climate stabilization.

File naming and required software

1. Data format: geotif
2. Name of data variable: percentage of permafrost area

Data Citations Data citation guideline What's data citation?

Cite as:

Wei, J., Liu, D., Wang, T. (2022). Future permafrost distribution over Tibetan Plateau under medium emission scenario (2080-2099). A Big Earth Data Platform for Three Poles, DOI: 10.11888/Cryos.tpdc.272813. CSTR: 18406.11.Cryos.tpdc.272813. (Download the reference： RIS | Bibtex )

Using this data, the data citation is required to be referenced and the related literatures are suggested to be cited.

Copyright & License

To respect the intellectual property rights, protect the rights of data authors, expand services of the data center, and evaluate the application potential of data, data users should clearly indicate the source of the data and the author of the data in the research results generated by using the data (including published papers, articles, data products, and unpublished research reports, data products and other results). For re-posting (second or multiple releases) data, the author must also indicate the source of the original data.

License： This work is licensed under an Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)